
Aluminum scrap imports set to slow
----Interview with Changguo Wang
General Manager
Aili Renewable Resources Co., Ltd.
General Manager
Aili Renewable Resources Co., Ltd.
Aili Renewable Resources Co., Ltd. was established on November 3, 2016, and is located in Room 806A, Binhai Huamao Center, east of Binhai Road, Tianjin Pilot Free Trade Zone. The company is principally engaged in the recycling of civilian waste materials and scrap metals from industrial production, renewable resource technology development, and the sales of construction materials, metal materials, metal products, automotive parts, and rubber and plastic products.
Asian Metal: Thank you, Mr. Wang, for accepting this interview. To begin with, could you briefly introduce your company?
Mr. Wang: Aili Renewable Resources was established in 2016 and specializes in the recycling, sorting, refined processing, upgrading, and value-preserving utilization of scrap aluminum. We currently operate our own recycling and processing bases in Foshan, Henan, Wuhu, and Tianjin. Our annual scrap aluminum recycling and processing volume is close to 100,000 tonnes, while our Tianjin headquarters has an annual processing capacity of 60,000-70,000 tonnes. Imported scrap aluminum accounts for around 70% of the total volume handled in Tianjin.
Asian Metal: Scrap aluminum covers a wide range of categories. Which types are your company's main products, and what advantages do they offer?
Mr. Wang: Scrap aluminum can be broadly divided into two categories: wrought aluminum alloy scrap and cast aluminum alloy scrap. These two categories each account for approximately half of our business. Over the past two to three years, more domestic scrap aluminum consumers have preferred purchasing tax-included scrap aluminum because many enterprises face difficulties obtaining input VAT invoices. Last year, imported scrap aluminum accounted for about 70% of our total scrap aluminum volume. Its key advantage is that it comes with invoices, making it more attractive to consumers, who generally prioritize purchasing invoiced material.
Asian Metal: After a transition period of nearly two to three years, China's scrap aluminum import policy has become relatively stable. In 2025, import volumes recovered to the level seen before the implementation of the ban on foreign waste imports. Do you think scrap aluminum imports will continue to increase significantly in the future?
Mr. Wang: Based on current trends, I do not believe scrap aluminum imports will continue to increase substantially. First, overseas aluminum supply is expected to remain relatively tight over the next three years, which has resulted in imported scrap aluminum prices consistently exceeding domestic Chinese scrap aluminum prices. This will significantly limit the growth of China's scrap aluminum imports. Over the next three years, I expect China's annual scrap aluminum imports to increase modestly at a rate of around 3% per year.
Asian Metal: Domestic scrap aluminum supply remained tight from the fourth quarter of last year through the first quarter of this year. What do you believe caused this situation?
Mr. Wang: In my view, the primary reason is that the growth rate of scrap aluminum supply has failed to keep pace with the growth rate of consumption. As a result, the market has experienced persistent supply tightness over the past six months. China's vehicle scrappage volume in 2025 was approximately 8 million units, while automobile production reached around 33 million units. This imbalance between scrap generation and consumption has created a supply-demand mismatch. I believe China's scrap aluminum market will remain relatively tight over the next three to five years.
Asian Metal: Do you think the domestic scrap aluminum shortage will worsen or ease during the second and third quarters?
Mr. Wang: I believe the shortage of scrap aluminum will become increasingly severe during the second and third quarters, and it is unlikely to be resolved in the short term. Since the second quarter, overseas scrap aluminum prices have continued to rise and remain above domestic prices due to the conflict between the United States and Iran, resulting in the temporary closure of the import arbitrage window. China normally imports about 1.8 million tonnes of scrap aluminum annually, but current indications suggest imports may decline by at least half this year. This is the primary factor behind the domestic supply shortage during the second and third quarters.
Asian Metal: Under the policy framework of building a unified national market, provinces including Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei, Henan, Fujian, and Sichuan have gradually abolished tax rebate policies since last year. What impact has this had on the scrap aluminum recycling industry and on your company?
Mr. Wang: Under the guidance of the State Council's policy to establish a unified national market, local governments have gradually withdrawn and abolished preferential tax rebate policies. This means that companies purchasing non-tax-included scrap aluminum can no longer enjoy local tax incentives. From a tax compliance perspective, enterprises will increase the proportion of tax-included scrap aluminum purchases, thereby promoting the gradual standardization and compliance of the scrap aluminum recycling industry. The most direct impact on our company is that an increasing number of enterprises now prefer to purchase tax-included scrap aluminum. Since approximately 70% of our scrap aluminum consists of tax-included imported material, demand from our customers has increased significantly.